SeedTeamConfCategoryProj TWV
1
Michigan logo
Michigan
Big Ten logo
At Large14.21
1
Arizona logo
Arizona
Big 12 logo
Auto Bid13.85
1
Duke logo
Duke
Atlantic Coast logo
Auto Bid13.66
1
Purdue logo
Purdue
Big Ten logo
Auto Bid9.25
2
Florida logo
Florida
Southeastern logo
At Large9.21
2
Houston logo
Houston
Big 12 logo
At Large9.11
2
Connecticut logo
Connecticut
Big East logo
At Large8.94
2
Arkansas logo
Arkansas
Southeastern logo
Auto Bid7.97
3
Virginia logo
Virginia
Atlantic Coast logo
At Large7.86
3
Vanderbilt logo
Vanderbilt
Southeastern logo
At Large7.75
3
St. John's logo
St. John's
Big East logo
Auto Bid7.54
3
Nebraska logo
Nebraska
Big Ten logo
At Large7.48
4
Michigan State logo
Michigan State
Big Ten logo
At Large7.29
4
Gonzaga logo
Gonzaga
West Coast logo
Auto Bid6.77
4
Kansas logo
Kansas
Big 12 logo
At Large6.53
4
Illinois logo
Illinois
Big Ten logo
At Large6.48
5
Iowa State logo
Iowa State
Big 12 logo
At Large6.45
5
Alabama logo
Alabama
Southeastern logo
At Large6.10
5
Wisconsin logo
Wisconsin
Big Ten logo
At Large5.46
5
Texas Tech logo
Texas Tech
Big 12 logo
At Large5.25
6
North Carolina logo
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast logo
At Large5.05
6
Tennessee logo
Tennessee
Southeastern logo
At Large4.64
6
BYU logo
BYU
Big 12 logo
At Large4.44
6
Louisville logo
Louisville
Atlantic Coast logo
At Large4.18
7
Villanova logo
Villanova
Big East logo
At Large3.77
7
Kentucky logo
Kentucky
Southeastern logo
At Large3.72
7
Miami logo
Miami
Atlantic Coast logo
At Large3.66
7
UCLA logo
UCLA
Big Ten logo
At Large3.39
8
Clemson logo
Clemson
Atlantic Coast logo
At Large3.16
8
Georgia logo
Georgia
Southeastern logo
At Large2.86
8
Ohio State logo
Ohio State
Big Ten logo
At Large2.76
8
Utah State logo
Utah State
Mountain West logo
Auto Bid2.45
9
Saint Mary's logo
Saint Mary's
West Coast logo
At Large2.37
9
TCU logo
TCU
Big 12 logo
At Large2.34
9
UCF logo
UCF
Big 12 logo
At Large2.19
9
Iowa logo
Iowa
Big Ten logo
At Large1.77
10
VCU logo
VCU
Atlantic 10 logo
Auto Bid1.54
10
Texas A&M logo
Texas A&M
Southeastern logo
At Large0.96
10
Auburn logo
Auburn
Southeastern logo
At Large0.59
10
North Carolina State logo
North Carolina State
Atlantic Coast logo
At Large0.55
11
Santa Clara logo
Santa Clara
West Coast logo
At Large0.54
11
Saint Louis logo
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10 logo
Last 4 In0.48
11
Missouri logo
Missouri
Southeastern logo
Last 4 In0.38
11
Texas logo
Texas
Southeastern logo
Last 4 In0.20
11
Oklahoma logo
Oklahoma
Southeastern logo
Last 4 In-0.07
11
South Florida logo
South Florida
American Athletic logo
Auto Bid-1.78
12
McNeese State logo
McNeese State
Southland logo
Auto Bid-2.16
12
Akron logo
Akron
Mid-American logo
Auto Bid-3.07
12
California Baptist logo
California Baptist
Western Athletic logo
Auto Bid-3.26
12
High Point logo
High Point
Big South logo
Auto Bid-5.03
13
Northern Iowa logo
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley logo
Auto Bid-6.82
13
Penn logo
Penn
Ivy League logo
Auto Bid-7.32
13
North Dakota State logo
North Dakota State
Summit logo
Auto Bid-7.47
13
UMBC logo
UMBC
America East logo
Auto Bid-7.50
14
LIU logo
LIU
Northeast logo
Auto Bid-7.54
14
Hofstra logo
Hofstra
Coastal Athletic Association logo
Auto Bid-7.75
14
Siena logo
Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic logo
Auto Bid-8.64
14
Queens (NC) logo
Queens (NC)
Atlantic Sun logo
Auto Bid-8.81
15
Troy logo
Troy
Sun Belt logo
Auto Bid-9.21
15
Tennessee State logo
Tennessee State
Ohio Valley logo
Auto Bid-9.42
15
Wright State logo
Wright State
Horizon League logo
Auto Bid-9.77
15
Howard logo
Howard
Mid-Eastern logo
Auto Bid-11.12
16
Kennesaw State logo
Kennesaw State
Conference USA logo
Auto Bid-11.97
16
Furman logo
Furman
Southern logo
Auto Bid-12.25
16
Idaho logo
Idaho
Big Sky logo
Auto Bid-13.30
16
Lehigh logo
Lehigh
Patriot League logo
Auto Bid-14.70
16
Southern logo
Southern
Southwestern Athletic logo
Auto Bid-15.24
16
Hawaii logo
Hawaii
Big West logo
Auto Bid-18.69
Out
SMU logo
SMU
Atlantic Coast logo
First 4 Out-0.16
Out
Seton Hall logo
Seton Hall
Big East logo
First 4 Out-0.43
Out
Indiana logo
Indiana
Big Ten logo
First 4 Out-0.44
Out
Virginia Tech logo
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast logo
First 4 Out-0.83
Out
California logo
California
Atlantic Coast logo
Next 4 Out-0.87
Out
Arizona State logo
Arizona State
Big 12 logo
Next 4 Out-0.94
Out
Stanford logo
Stanford
Atlantic Coast logo
Next 4 Out-1.18
Out
San Diego State logo
San Diego State
Mountain West logo
Next 4 Out-1.35
NCAA tournament projections based on 1,000 season simulations using composite ratings.
Featured in Bracket Matrix Blog. Bracket Matrix site here.
Team secured auto bid

Potential Multi-Bid Conferences

Southeastern logo
12 teams
Florida logo
2
Arkansas logo
2
Vanderbilt logo
3
Alabama logo
5
Tennessee logo
6
Kentucky logo
7
Georgia logo
8
Texas A&M logo
10
Auburn logo
10
Missouri logo
11
Texas logo
11
Oklahoma logo
11
Big Ten logo
9 teams
Michigan logo
1
Purdue logo
1
Nebraska logo
3
Michigan State logo
4
Illinois logo
4
Wisconsin logo
5
UCLA logo
7
Ohio State logo
8
Iowa logo
9
Big 12 logo
8 teams
Arizona logo
1
Houston logo
2
Kansas logo
4
Iowa State logo
5
Texas Tech logo
5
BYU logo
6
TCU logo
9
UCF logo
9
Atlantic Coast logo
7 teams
Duke logo
1
Virginia logo
3
North Carolina logo
6
Louisville logo
6
Miami logo
7
Clemson logo
8
North Carolina State logo
10
Big East logo
3 teams
Connecticut logo
2
St. John's logo
3
Villanova logo
7
West Coast logo
3 teams
Gonzaga logo
4
Saint Mary's logo
9
Santa Clara logo
11
Atlantic 10 logo
2 teams
VCU logo
10
Saint Louis logo
11
Mountain West logo
1 team
Utah State logo
8
Indiana logo
F4O
Arizona State logo
N4O
SMU logo
F4O
Virginia Tech logo
F4O
California logo
N4O
Stanford logo
N4O
Seton Hall logo
F4O
San Diego State logo
N4O
Conferences with multiple teams projected to be in the NCAA Tournament or with bubble teams in first four out/next four out.